> Rolf Dobelli. 2014.
_The Art of Thinking Clearly_, Harper.
1. Why You Should Visit Cemeteries:
- [[Survivorship Bias]]
2. Does Harvard Make You Smarter?:
- [[Swimmer's Body Illusion]]
3. Why You See Shapes in the Clouds:
- [[Clustering Illusion]]
4. If 50 Million People Say Something Foolish, Its still Foolish:
- [[Social Proof]]
5. Why You Should Forget the Past:
- [[Sunk Cost Fallacy]]
6. Don't Accept Free Drinks:
- [[Reciprocity]]
7. Beware the Special Case:
- [[ Confirmation Bias]]
8. Murder Your Darlings:
- [[Confirmation Bias]]
9. Don't Bow to Authority:
- [[Authority Bias]]
10. Leave Your Supermodel Friends at Home:
- [[ Contrast Effect]]
11. Why We Prefer a Wrong Map to No Map at All:
- [[Availability Bias]]
12. Why 'No Pain, No Gain' Should Set Alarm Bells Ringing:
- [[It'll-Get-Worse-Before-it-Gets Better Fallacy]]
13. Even True Stories are Fairytales:
- [[Story Bias]]
14. Why You Should Keep a Diary:
- [[Hindsight Bias]]
15. Why You Systematically Overestimate Your Knowledge and Abilities:
- [[Overconfidence Effect]]
16. Don't Take News Anchors Seriously:
- [[Chauffeur Knowledge]]
17. You Control Less Than You Think:
- [[Illusion of Control]]
18. Never Pay Your Lawyer by the Hour:
- [[Incentive Super-Response Tendency]]
19. The Dubious Efficacy of Doctors, Consultants and Psychotherapists:
- [[Regression to Mean]]
20. Never Judge a Decision by its Outcome:
- [[Outcome Bias]]
21. Less is More:
- [[the Paradox of Choice]]
22. You Like Me, You Really, Really Like Me:
- [[Liking Bias]]
23. Don't Cling to Things:
- [[Endowment Effect]]
25. The Inevitability of Unlikely Events
- [[Coincidence]]
27. The Calamity of Conformity:
- [[Groupthink]]
28. Why You'll Soon Be Playing Megatrillions:
- [[Neglect of Probability]]
27. Why the Last Cookie in the Jar Makes Your Mouth Water:
- [[Scarcity Error]]
28. When You Hear Hoofbeats, Don't Expect a Zebra:
- [[Base-Rate Neglect]]
29. Why the 'Balancing Force of the Universe' is Baloney:
- [[Gambler's Fallacy]]
30. Why the Wheel of Fortune Makes Our Heads Spin:
- [[The Anchor]]
31. How to Relieve People of Their Millions:
- [[Induction]]
32. Why Evil Strikes Harder Than Good:
- [[Loss Aversion]]
33. Why Teams Are Lazy:
- [[Social Loafing]]
35. Stumped By a Sheet of Paper:
- [[ Exponential Growth]]
35. Curb Your Enthusiasm:
- [[Winner's Curse]]
36. Never Ask a Writer if The Novel is Autobiographical:
- [[Fundamental Attribution Error]]
37. Why You Shouldn't Believe in the Stork:
- [[False Causality]]
38. Everyone is Beautiful at the Top:
- [[Halo Effect]]
39. Congratulations! You've Won Russian Roulette:
- [[Alternative Paths]]
40. False Prophets:
- [[Forecast Illusion]]
41. The Deception of Specific Cases:
- [[Conjunction Fallacy]]
42. It's Not What You Say, But How You Say It:
- [[Framing]]
43. Why Watching and Waiting is Torture:
- [[Action Bias]]
44. Why You Are Either the Solution - or the Problem:
- [[Omission Bias]]
45. Don't Blame Me:
- [[Self-Serving Bias]]
46. Be Careful What You Wish For:
- [[Hedonic Treadmill]]
47. Do Not Marvel at Your Existence:
- [[Self-Selection Bias]]
48. Why Experience Can Damage Our Judgement:
- [[Association Bias]]
49. Be Wary When Things Get Off to a Great Start:
- [[Beginner's Luck]]
50. Sweet Little Lies:
- [[Cognitive Dissonance]]
51. Live Each Day As If It Were Your Last - But Only On Sundays:
- [[Hyperbolic Discounting]]
52. Any Lame Excuse:
- [['Because' Justification]]
53. Decide Better - Decide Less:
- [[Decision Fatigue]]
54. Would You Wear Hitler's Sweater?:
- [[Contagion Bias]]
55. Why There Is No Such Thing as an Average War:
- [[the Problem with Averages]]
56. How Bonuses Destroy Motivation:
- [[Motivation Crowding]]
57. If You Have Nothing To Say, Say Nothing:
- [[Twaddle Tendency]]
58. How to Increase the Average IQ of Two States:
- [[Will Rogers Phenomenon]]
59. If you Have an Enemy, Give Him Information:
- [[Information Bias]]
60. Hurts so Good:
- [[Effort Justification]]
61. Why Small Things Loom Large:
- [[the Law of Small Numbers]]
62. Handle with Care:
- [[Expectations]]
63. Speed Traps Ahead!:
- [[Simple Logic]]
64. How to Expose a Charlatan:
- [[Forer Effect]]
65. Volunteer Work Is For The Birds:
- [[Volunteer's Folly]]
66. Why You Are a Slave to Your Emotions:
- [[Affect Heuristic]]
67. Be Your Own Heretic:
- [[Introspection Illusion]]
68. Why You Should Set Fire to Your Ships:
- [[Inability to Close Doors]]
69. Disregard the Brand New:
- [[Neomania]]
70. Why Propaganda Works:
- [[Sleeper Effect]]
71. Why It's Never Just a Two-Horse Race:
- [[Alternative Blindness]]
72. Why We Take Aim at Young Guns:
- [[Social Comparison Bias]]
73. Why First Impressions Deceive:
- [[Primacy And Recency Effects]]
74. Why You Can't Beat Home-made:
- [[Not-Invented-Here Syndrome]]
75. How to Profit from the Implausible:
- [[the Black Swan]]
76. Knowledge is Non-transferable:
- [[Domain Dependence]]
77. The Myth of Like-Mindedness:
- [[False-Consensus Effect]]
78. You Were Right All Along:
- [[Falsification of History]]
79. Why You Identify With Your Football Team:
- [[In-Group Out-Group Bias]]
80. The Difference Between Risk and Uncertainty:
- [[Ambiguity Aversion]]
81. Why You Go With the Status Quo:
- [[Default Effect]]
82. Why 'Last Chances' Make Us Panic:
- [[Fear of Regret]]
83. How Eye-Catching Details Render Us Blind:
- [[Salience Effect]]
84. Why Money is Not Naked:
- [[House-Money Effect]]
85. Why New Year's Resolutions Don't Work:
- [[Procrastination]]
86. Build Your Own Castle:
- [[Envy]]
87. Why You Prefer Novels to Statistics:
- [[Personification]]
88. You Have No Idea What You Are Overlooking:
- [[Illusion of Attention]]
89. Hot Air:
- [[Strategic Misrepresentation]]
90. Where's The Off Switch?:
- [[Overthinking]]
91. Why You Take On Too Much:
- [[Planning Fallacy]]
92. Those Wielding Hammers See Only Nails:
- [[Déformation Professionnelle]]
93. Mission Accomplished:
- [[Zeigarnik Effect]]
94. The Boat Matters More Than the Rowing:
- [[Illusion of Skill]]
95. Why Checklists Deceive You:
- [[Feature-Positive Effect]]
96. Drawing the Bull's-eye Around the Arrow:
- [[Cherry-Picking]]
97. The Stone-Age Hunt for Scapegoats:
- [[Fallacy of the Single Cause]]
98. Speed Demons Make Safe Drivers:
- [[Intention-to-treat Error]]
99. Why You Shouldn't Read the News:
- [[News Illusion ]]